Euroleague · resolved market
Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e75a9410e584935a61710d53859b581031bbfd3dde8236b16abddbce23cddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Fenerbahce, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 3,524$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.04 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 2,945$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Fenerbahce | 76c | 2,729$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 1,895$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 1,739$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Fenerbahce | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fenerbahce | 76c | 1,176$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Anadolu Efes | 9c | 1,102$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anadolu Efes | 3c | 1,081$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 1,000$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Anadolu Efes | 25c | 948$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 942.16$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 24c | 940.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 925$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 862.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a590backed Anadolu Efes | 24c | 611$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 595.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Anadolu Efes | 23c | 547.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Fenerbahce | 74c | 512.16$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Anadolu Efes | 23c | 498.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 397.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 380.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 365$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 362$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Anadolu Efes | 24c | 345.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…5557backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 318.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fenerbahce | 78c | 315$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 283.33$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…fc8bbacked Fenerbahce | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 224.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 152.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fenerbahce | 80c | 136.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…beadbacked Anadolu Efes | 9c | 135.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Fenerbahce | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…0507backed Fenerbahce | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Anadolu Efes | 23c | 127$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Anadolu Efes | 24c | 122.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Fenerbahce | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 103.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 100.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Anadolu Efes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 91.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Anadolu Efes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 78.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Anadolu Efes | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Anadolu Efes | 24c | 62.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Fenerbahce | 76c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Fenerbahce | 76c | 50.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 21.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Fenerbahce | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Fenerbahce | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Fenerbahce | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Fenerbahce | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Fenerbahce | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.