NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0030012d381fa6d630efa7574c5aeece2b5579084fce219c5b66ad96c949c1a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 56c | 13,208$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 55c | 4,270$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.5 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 45c | 4,211$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.95 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 4,080$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 57c | 3,505$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.18 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 2,936$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.55 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,354$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.76 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 562.37$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 45c | 560.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 370$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Over | 44c | 366.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 44c | 319.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 56c | 146$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 112.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 56c | 107.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 56c | 96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Under | 57c | 83.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 47c | 42.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 44c | 36.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 44c | 28.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. PredatorsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.