Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f3385ccfaf887c16e29789d23ccadff4fae17042f5dac67e1ea7aab4a5f5a65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 70c | 45,000$31,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,550 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 30c | 40,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 69c | 21,139$14,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 11,059$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 5,671$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 31c | 5,019$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.97 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 31c | 4,259$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 31c | 3,442$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.21 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 2,889$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 1,215$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 68c | 1,155$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.53 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 997.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 31c | 850$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 737.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 14c | 691.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 67c | 620$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 31c | 541.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 16c | 457.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 374$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 32c | 159$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 31c | 77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 69c | 59.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Yes | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Yes | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed No | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…ba0cbacked Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Yes | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 67c | 29.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Yes | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…1686backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…501abacked Yes | 71c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?No won
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.