TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lamar Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lamar Cardinalsof Lamar Cardinals, East Texas A&M Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89f3…dfffbacked East Texas A&M Lions17c1,181$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.161,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked East Texas A&M Lions41c499.73$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.892,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lamar Cardinals79c495.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.631,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked East Texas A&M Lions13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.114021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lamar Cardinals70c351.09$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.084,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked East Texas A&M Lions77c335.12$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5523158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Lamar Cardinals24c286.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Lamar Cardinals73c213.17$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0973549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed East Texas A&M Lions35c208.55$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9121535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lamar Cardinals65c206.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lamar Cardinals60c171.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.942,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked East Texas A&M Lions36c167$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.371,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed East Texas A&M Lions47c153.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.271,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed East Texas A&M Lions32c128$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.966453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Lamar Cardinals59c122$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.029051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed East Texas A&M Lions65c108.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1136845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked East Texas A&M Lions40c108$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lamar Cardinals72c105.29$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.662,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked East Texas A&M Lions40c91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.46253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed East Texas A&M Lions40c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.65942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked East Texas A&M Lions62c80.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed East Texas A&M Lions21c79.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.814330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed East Texas A&M Lions40c71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.45851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed East Texas A&M Lions38c68.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.322,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Lamar Cardinals63c63.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6413350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed East Texas A&M Lions32c54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.284744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lamar Cardinals44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked East Texas A&M Lions40c54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Lamar Cardinals66c53.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Lamar Cardinals46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Lamar Cardinals68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Lamar Cardinals65c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Lamar Cardinals68c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.842759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Lamar Cardinals61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.797040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Lamar Cardinals60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Lamar Cardinals68c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.243748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed East Texas A&M Lions33c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.563647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Lamar Cardinals60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.63455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Lamar Cardinals60c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed Lamar Cardinals60c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Lamar Cardinals60c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Lamar Cardinals60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Lamar Cardinals62c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.844158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Lamar Cardinals62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.442454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Lamar Cardinals59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7317544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Lamar Cardinals60c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Lamar Cardinals60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Lamar Cardinals68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Lamar Cardinals60c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Lamar Cardinals60c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Lamar Cardinals60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Lamar Cardinals60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Lamar Cardinals80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.