Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88ec34f62d6d61b78e8ac09b616bbf07621a7d4ae989624661173c48a465afd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 63c | 31,659$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,658.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 3,892$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.07 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 3,162$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.94 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 2,483$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.65 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 1,639$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.32 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 1,530$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 38c | 999.87$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 868$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 744$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.29 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 656.1$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked No | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 63c | 478.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 61c | 435.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 10c | 401.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…a17cbacked Yes | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfff…d6ffbacked Yes | 39c | 257.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 39c | 226.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 36c | 177$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…3da9backed Yes | 63c | 164.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 151$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 139.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 97.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 64c | 62.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 24c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 63c | 38.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 36c | 36.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed No | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 63c | 26.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked No | 66c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 64c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.