Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06956e2bd54855f8959cc70eec01c79104b48039164d8ccdfbcb25b4473c12b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,466$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.54 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 74c | 1,402$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,330$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,107$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 23c | 595.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 17c | 418.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 30c | 334.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 195.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 74c | 195.95$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Yes | 34c | 136.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 135.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 73c | 132$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 27c | 115.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f470backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 80.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 70c | 49.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 45.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 45.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 24.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.