La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xade65f96d19008042e70455935bff96dc5f5f256db36b32c5e1972b6d1af379e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 638.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 574.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 44c | 539.75$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 3c | 508.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 477.89$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 61c | 400.04$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 263.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 68c | 175.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 48c | 144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 33c | 126$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 33c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 64.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 44c | 61.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 67c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 56c | 42.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…491cbacked Yes | 75c | 39.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.