La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111efb8ab05b48c6f77b721ce408148374bacf829dfeb455c033c8deba960ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,163$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 70c | 1,657$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,177$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.63 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 1,174$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.59 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 62c | 378.11$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 338.31$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked No | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 35c | 300.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 34c | 243$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 179.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 36c | 139.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…6b5cbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 114.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 19c | 103.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 101.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…d431backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 35c | 98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 35c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 22c | 71.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 48c | 70.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Yes | 36c | 61.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 69c | 57.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 40c | 57.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 29c | 50.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 30c | 48.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 35c | 40.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 39.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…47eabacked Yes | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +80%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.