La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d2b55bc42d06a841e4aead473e2d6c0800db54569dd4b1a8733c22332c4bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 21,713$15,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 20c | 9,949$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.32 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 43c | 8,013$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…6382backed Over | 67c | 1,867$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 1,564$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 991.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.22 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 974.21$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 631.19$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.73 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 66c | 326.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 33c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…c658backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 32c | 98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 33c | 82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 62c | 44.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 68c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 61c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.