La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8542c8483b98a9e5a405cfe9a9b116764ae2e93530116531aef54253ce99a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 58c | 12,217$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.35 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 8c | 9,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Over | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 68c | 4,626$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.37 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 42c | 3,300$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.21 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.84 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 42c | 769.28$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 39c | 500.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 42c | 410$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 217$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 42c | 209.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 42c | 200.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 66c | 197$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 58c | 169.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…8098backed Under | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 36.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…bfb8backed Over | 45c | 32.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 60c | 27.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.