Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2234c275d3d9ed2f9753708d486028fab9676b09e647d0ee7effb8ad2d2e8479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,238$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.33 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 455.53$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.43 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 64c | 240$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 133.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 36c | 123$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 61c | 119.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 40c | 97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 46.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Yes | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 64c | 35.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Yes | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 29.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Yes | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 24.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Yes | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Yes | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.