Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x142e7372c29fc7d968dc9d14a7d5a47d8ea6c7f35e3f9a614c547dd9d03105ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 40c | 2,460$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 1,292$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.75 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 751.72$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 61c | 531$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.91 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Under | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 195.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 60c | 180.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 37c | 133$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 39c | 133$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 64.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 60c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 56c | 46.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.