Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f56e568d271d752b105643dbdcb7628105030a4b31ac06c8d2f53843bbf421c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 2,691$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 19c | 602.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.49 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 35c | 573.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 225.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 49c | 192.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 54c | 93.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 72c | 55.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 20c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 58c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…8be2backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.