Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dad86651b985b5ee08016bd7209bb90125b28be02824e13fae16d2348bc3fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,776$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 1,426$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 40c | 862.58$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 66c | 602.41$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 60c | 490.55$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 38c | 359$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 35c | 306.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 29c | 175.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 65c | 114.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 108.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 65c | 36.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 61c | 35.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 61c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…7f3dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 69cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.