Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d52d0690212bfab2330da41c454f9b841939189d64ccc98b3e2f87751754e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSU Tigersof LSU Tigers, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed LSU Tigers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked SMU Mustangs | 20c | 7,174$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.43 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 4,659$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.01 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LSU Tigers | 78c | 3,520$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.95 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 1,784$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.89 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 1,635$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.79 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed LSU Tigers | 70c | 742.02$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 659.51$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked LSU Tigers | 51c | 618.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.31 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 381.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 351.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked LSU Tigers | 51c | 242.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed SMU Mustangs | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 162.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 151$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 113.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed LSU Tigers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked LSU Tigers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed SMU Mustangs | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed SMU Mustangs | 17c | 90.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SMU Mustangs | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LSU Tigers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked LSU Tigers | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked LSU Tigers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed SMU Mustangs | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked LSU Tigers | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked LSU Tigers | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LSU Tigers | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked LSU Tigers | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed LSU Tigers | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked LSU Tigers | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed LSU Tigers | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed LSU Tigers | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked LSU Tigers | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed LSU Tigers | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…1b92backed LSU Tigers | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.