Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Northwestern State Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f0d87cb99d99cb4ae6c9f3717dde4b20b0622fa2bd96fa9664f7dc29933ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Texas A&M Lionsof East Texas A&M Lions, Northwestern State Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 41c | 8,372$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.2 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northwestern State Demons | 38c | 1,058$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 50c | 564.33$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Texas A&M Lions | 61c | 559.48$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 292.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern State Demons | 62c | 292.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 285.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 56c | 217$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed East Texas A&M Lions | 42c | 152$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Northwestern State Demons | 53c | 113.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed East Texas A&M Lions | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern State Demons | 65c | 82.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Northwestern State Demons | 41c | 69.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 56c | 59.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern State Demons | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 49c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed East Texas A&M Lions | 54c | 46.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 44.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed East Texas A&M Lions | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northwestern State Demons | 56c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Northwestern State Demons | 41c | 35.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Northwestern State Demons | 52c | 34.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northwestern State Demons | 63c | 32.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed East Texas A&M Lions | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed East Texas A&M Lions | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Northwestern State Demons | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed East Texas A&M Lions | 51c | 25.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Northwestern State Demons | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Northwestern State Demons | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern State Demons | 61c | 18.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed East Texas A&M Lions | 71c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.