Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03fb6a254525f85c269b3d817c5b94925954b48d163533b76ee1652c566491e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 446.33$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 363.33$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 27c | 243.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 179$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 166$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 74c | 74.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 26c | 57.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 27c | 53.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-11?No won
- Will Kuopion PS vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.