Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04c5de76cb3e3bb5b33597efeee017079f27a0390643100af814735e9794ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 51c | 64,000$32,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,441.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 47c | 29,083$13,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,669 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 24,765$12,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,349.73 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 49c | 18,235$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,258.39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 6,006$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.06 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 4,446$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.49 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 3,060$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.12 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 1,117$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 1,021$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.7 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 856$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.56 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 471.77$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.12 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 47c | 425.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 49c | 390.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 41c | 291.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes | 48c | 191.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 180.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 33c | 159.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 157$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 49c | 121.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 35c | 103.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 47c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked No | 50c | 66.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 62.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked No | 53c | 54.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 53c | 48.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 41c | 40.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 52c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 54c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 49c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 49c | 21.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Kuopion PS vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.