Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7917f43b0ccb75c0b4eef15c68c2ce30e747d4ee61bc988c5261808468dff8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 50c | 1,199$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.59 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 645.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.72 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 7c | 328$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 66c | 299$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 245.59$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…8ac9backed Yes | 80c | 211.61$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 199.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 28c | 101$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 53c | 94.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 73c | 76.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…895fbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 73c | 56.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 48.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 46c | 28.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.