Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e5cac237c4b38b3e82b688fa91caa15e42307f7b445d44b272c8a3dcaaa8d2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 55c | 37,500$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,999.98 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 38c | 29,323$11,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,206.88 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 58c | 9,793$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 66c | 7,150$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 4,301$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,708$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.2 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 34c | 1,835$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,568$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 38c | 1,281$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,250$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.44 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 881$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.21 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed No | 64c | 820.42$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 78c | 763.27$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 753.34$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 376.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 38c | 273.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed No | 61c | 233.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 20c | 198.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 179.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked No | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 34c | 73.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 31c | 71.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 58c | 57.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 39c | 49.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…5fd8backed No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Yes | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 66c | 15.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will NAC Breda vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.