Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7744c36dc954bbf1a373761500a7355f507a5a667d7728b6ed0c2b322eab431f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 2,182$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.72 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,015$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 25c | 1,146$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 805.98$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 36c | 565.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 516.4$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…876cbacked Yes | 35c | 516.23$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 36c | 372.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 347.29$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 324$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 67c | 312.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 284.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 25c | 280.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 278.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 35c | 272.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 183.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 64c | 142$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 137.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…efbcbacked Yes | 36c | 135.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 69c | 110.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 35c | 79.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…3641backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 43c | 46.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 36.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…5fd8backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 30.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will NAC Breda vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.