Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3c7c32ad02c65e312a0658637a76ea0209383a8ad5e32a29a320e92c7dddfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Hoosiersof Indiana Hoosiers, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 2,228$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maryland Terrapins | 57c | 1,603$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.09 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 1,480$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 1,083$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.13 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 919$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 706.41$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maryland Terrapins | 38c | 473.62$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 453$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.11 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 238.24$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Maryland Terrapins | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 178$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 157.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 117$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 70.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Indiana Hoosiers | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Maryland Terrapins | 55c | 28.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Maryland Terrapins | 57c | 22.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 63c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland TerrapinsIndiana Hoosiers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.