Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa753af2d5ef29641a40be522b9e35f3b0d8a6c9fab2cbf0d130481007b1c0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Hoosiersof Indiana Hoosiers, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Indiana Hoosiers | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 1,714$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 1,265$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 999.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maryland Terrapins | 25c | 808.55$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Maryland Terrapins | 28c | 713.62$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.63 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 674$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 630.68$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Maryland Terrapins | 10c | 627.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 578.65$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Maryland Terrapins | 32c | 554.87$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 502.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 451.08$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 71c | 369.35$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 358.89$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 354.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 256$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 22c | 232.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Maryland Terrapins | 22c | 231.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 222$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Maryland Terrapins | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Indiana Hoosiers | 77c | 172.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maryland Terrapins | 27c | 140.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7b78backed Indiana Hoosiers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 24c | 136.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Maryland Terrapins | 32c | 126.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Maryland Terrapins | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maryland Terrapins | 28c | 98.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 69c | 75.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Indiana Hoosiers | 80c | 71.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Indiana Hoosiers | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…af66backed Maryland Terrapins | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…d9f5backed Indiana Hoosiers | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Maryland Terrapins | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 72c | 46.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 45.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…b6f7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 76c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 30.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Indiana Hoosiers | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…6e0dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Indiana Hoosiers | 77c | 23.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Indiana Hoosiers | 74c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…f522backed Indiana Hoosiers | 78c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapinsthis page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.