Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x005b557a00479b0ab8062a3bf1065abb7762aab0adcdd976bbe701ac97fa5fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 1,913$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.57 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 840.47$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 284.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 53c | 193$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 38.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 54c | 36.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 51c | 30.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Under | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Under | 51c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 148.5this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland TerrapinsIndiana Hoosiers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.