Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2092d4fa5165c3c2b605730abf668f062fd07259ec9bbe48ba9c32573269872f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 117.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 55c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 56c | 75.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 57c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 149.5this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland TerrapinsIndiana Hoosiers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-7.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-8.5)Indiana Hoosiers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.