Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zidansek vs Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0307870f5ddc813e7618ee7e9e640a7a14116fa7ec472169d4ce0ccce07242ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Zidansek, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa965…3565backed Zidansek | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Cirstea | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Cirstea | 79c | 268$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zidansek | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Zidansek | 25c | 142$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Zidansek | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Zidansek | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Cirstea | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Cirstea | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Cirstea | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Cirstea | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Cirstea | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Cirstea | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Cirstea | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Cirstea | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Cirstea | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Cirstea | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zidansek vs Cirsteathis page
- Transylvania Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Sorana CirsteaCirstea won
- Zidansek vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zidansek vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.