Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b716237d7b4254d829310a1d1e648f800b5230c6d5330be49d0d731f71eb373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Zidansek, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Zidansek | 18c | 100,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zidansek | 4c | 4,216$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…525abacked Zidansek | 19c | 3,118$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.69 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zidansek | 15c | 2,331$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zidansek | 7c | 2,038$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zidansek | 14c | 1,415$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cirstea | 80c | 1,241$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.11 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Zidansek | 19c | 1,072$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zidansek | 8c | 763.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Zidansek | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Zidansek | 15c | 259.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zidansek | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Zidansek | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zidansek | 16c | 200.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Zidansek | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Zidansek | 19c | 171$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb05…0f4abacked Zidansek | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Zidansek | 20c | 162.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Zidansek | 17c | 155.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Zidansek | 14c | 106.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zidansek | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Zidansek | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Zidansek | 18c | 81.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Cirstea | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed Cirstea | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Sorana Cirsteathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zidansek vs CirsteaCirstea won
- Zidansek vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zidansek vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.