La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c2b6be08b4cabe9070a706a4f15a72c7f07f96488d4e7b6e909ffaba477358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 69c | 72,838$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 43,925$13,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,094.1 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 31c | 18,906$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,954.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 15,006$9,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,753.72 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 5,008$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.02 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,267$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.4 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 2,251$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.06 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 1,706$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked No | 66c | 1,215$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 36c | 590$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.6 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 342.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 19c | 163.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 34c | 151$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 37c | 133.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Yes | 35c | 132$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 33c | 85.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 34c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 29c | 48.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…4851backed Yes | 32c | 40.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed No | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 64c | 33.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 73c | 33.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 36c | 28.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…1147backed No | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 66c | 15.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will FC Andorra vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.