Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico Lobos vs. Colorado State Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a7cb92fc48d229863e54f70193548d5ccc1ce1041de937e45e77c752490b8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 966.4$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.47 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 875.66$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado State Rams | 14c | 500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 302$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 262.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 209.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 209$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 199.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 174.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Colorado State Rams | 24c | 124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State Rams | 14c | 119.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…0697backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico Lobos | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Colorado State Rams | 16c | 69.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Colorado State Rams | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colorado State Rams | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed New Mexico Lobos | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Colorado State Rams | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Colorado State Rams | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Colorado State Rams | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Colorado State Rams | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.