Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8540f9d71f57701bb10b4e98a85a435a7b116cc85daee2cd9e852052fa1993a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 5,320$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.75 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 4,458$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,097$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,097$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 19c | 614$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 348.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 343.37$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 18c | 151.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 145.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 26c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 39c | 71.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 68.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 36c | 41.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 32.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.