Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Coria vs Berrettini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c439239ebc79ae6f90d1438fc18fc663601f6be9b70226ccac6e4ec6b31b2f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berrettiniof Coria, Berrettini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Coria | 21c | 1,249$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Berrettini | 78c | 540.84$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Berrettini | 79c | 514.83$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Berrettini | 79c | 400.68$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Coria | 24c | 253$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Coria | 23c | 169.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Berrettini | 79c | 145.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Coria | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Coria | 21c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Coria | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Berrettini | 80c | 47.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Berrettini | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Berrettini | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Berrettini | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Berrettini | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…23f3backed Berrettini | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Berrettini | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Berrettini | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Berrettini | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Berrettini | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Berrettini | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…20e3backed Berrettini | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Berrettini | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…d6c3backed Berrettini | 79c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Berrettini | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Berrettini | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…90d5backed Berrettini | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…9077backed Berrettini | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Berrettini | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Berrettini | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed Berrettini | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Berrettini | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…8e32backed Berrettini | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Berrettini | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…4cfcbacked Berrettini | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…cb7cbacked Berrettini | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Berrettini | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Berrettini | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed Berrettini | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Berrettini | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…9c54backed Berrettini | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Coria vs Berrettinithis page
- Argentina Open: Federico Coria vs Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini won
- Coria vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Coria (+1.5)Berrettini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.