Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ef70f053ca69de74126f421ce75411d5b21dcdf7cb7e4dd653bb2b1cfada6ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berrettiniof Coria, Berrettini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Coria | 11c | 6,395$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Coria | 7c | 5,917$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Coria | 14c | 4,312$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.8 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Coria | 16c | 4,016$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Coria | 1c | 3,963$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Coria | 15c | 2,667$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Coria | 12c | 2,551$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Coria | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Coria | 15c | 1,972$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Coria | 11c | 1,749$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Coria | 13c | 1,601$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Coria | 14c | 1,568$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Coria | 17c | 1,198$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Coria | 13c | 1,151$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Coria | 20c | 997.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Coria | 12c | 961.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Coria | 9c | 911.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Coria | 13c | 701.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Coria | 16c | 656.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Coria | 5c | 594.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Coria | 14c | 585.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Coria | 12c | 536.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Coria | 14c | 481.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Coria | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Coria | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Coria | 12c | 324.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Coria | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Coria | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Coria | 13c | 282.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Coria | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Coria | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Coria | 14c | 193$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Coria | 16c | 189$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Coria | 7c | 162.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Coria | 14c | 147.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Coria | 14c | 143.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Coria | 14c | 133.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Coria | 16c | 128.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Coria | 13c | 118.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Coria | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Coria | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Coria | 15c | 97.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…1968backed Coria | 15c | 94.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Coria | 17c | 88.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…868bbacked Coria | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettinithis page
- Coria vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Coria vs BerrettiniBerrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Coria (+1.5)Berrettini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.