Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf85246db2f05818c7bec23f21ee1bfcb7aa3e1d4f03283e3230b52586c351486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 8,404$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 8,349$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 372.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed No | 78c | 330$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 182.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…e34cbacked No | 61c | 181.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 39c | 120.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 34c | 114.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 32c | 112.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 61c | 101$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed No | 65c | 89.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 63c | 65.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Yes | 43c | 54.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 75c | 53.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed No | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 36c | 33.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked No | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.