Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7552630fbabb8bc9ca4dc3ded6bddb15865d535b5ac5bafe8483108c225d5f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 7,361$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 2,670$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 1,886$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 63c | 1,594$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 36c | 1,121$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 842.17$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.3 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 61c | 831.15$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Under | 76c | 798.52$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 52c | 776.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 747.69$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.88 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 685$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 64c | 549.9$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 53c | 439.07$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 13c | 399.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 78c | 368.85$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 328.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 58c | 320.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 28c | 315.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 241.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…33c0backed Over | 64c | 221.48$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Under | 67c | 215$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 52c | 192.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 42c | 188.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…4593backed Over | 61c | 169.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 63c | 157.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 48c | 145.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 78c | 139.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a31…67b7backed Over | 71c | 138$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 23c | 124$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Under | 22c | 100.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…f7dbbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 23c | 86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…9447backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 82.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…fa0fbacked Under | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 68.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 23c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 25c | 52.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 51.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Over | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 66c | 41.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…063bbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 77c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 78c | 27.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 63c | 24.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -5.0wins | -0.45per pick | 63cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…32e0backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed Under | 61c | 19.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…30d0backed Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.