Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d5c632ddad5cd2e78443332fa1bdb965d084fd49c2459d4faa8e6e4b69764cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed No | 47c | 596.89$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 51c | 322.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 88.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 44c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 57c | 69.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…bcc3backed Yes | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Yes | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 42c | 26.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Rangers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.