Europa Conference League · resolved market
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ab66c39b868acf7f42c5ceae0b852a5bb536c12d341771d463cc41c727eb5b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 27c | 4,782$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.6 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 79c | 3,146$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.46 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 3c | 1,303$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 954.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 4c | 801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 21c | 401$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 47c | 313.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 45c | 47.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Rangers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.