Euroleague · resolved market
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02d00f513bb26b228e492c1c1229e90859729e32233ca3c2c62ac4c2c6bd4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 4,390$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.66 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 4c | 2,560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 2,071$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.94 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 52c | 1,886$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 1,364$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.85 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 22c | 1,351$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 1,272$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.33 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…fb99backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 2c | 800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 747.68$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…7d2ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 6c | 707.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 30c | 669$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…e8d4backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 10c | 542.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 488.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 439$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 412$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 295.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 27c | 293.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 289.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 26c | 238.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 231.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 59c | 209.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +704.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 18c | 191.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 190.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 31c | 125.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…baa9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 97.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 87.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…bd47backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 80.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 64.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…6e64backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 59.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 19c | 52.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 44.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 40.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…7714backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 26.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 59c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 60c | 22.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.