Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2742fb6f4d3a11b68fceacfc3c037c5d8e9166a2c18090c6586a039f5bfef11c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 3c | 3,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 4c | 2,487$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 3c | 2,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,817$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked No | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,080$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 10c | 888.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 693.85$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 667.35$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 638.86$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 430.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.14 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 285.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 30c | 222.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 27c | 216$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 191$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 176.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 27c | 152$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 27c | 86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 27c | 78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 27c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Yes | 27c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Yes | 27c | 40.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 39.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 73c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 73c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…07b2backed No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.