Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83bd44fd3125eb9eb8232ad6eb6b4f86fefbc8d2653e017003a023f96b1218e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 15c | 60,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,199.96 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 5,300$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 3c | 2,800$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 71c | 2,101$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 77c | 2,012$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.01 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 58c | 1,327$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.55 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 432.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 327$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 16c | 301.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 13c | 238.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…8132backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 30c | 158$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 27c | 157$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 137.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 119$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 30c | 109$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 30c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 80c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed No | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 30c | 34.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…b9b8backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…07b2backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.