Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf17a7608afdc8cf357bd677712732f16e5fd11b55b4b96212d0062bfc7301066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 17c | 1,624$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 803.7$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…d33bbacked Over | 28c | 314.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 219.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 181.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 15c | 175$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 20c | 116$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 79c | 80.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 19c | 70.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 36c | 51.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 35c | 43.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Under | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 75c | 25.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Under | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.