Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f12e05b14a4da9e9707881a7875eda0cfad6eec2b58901b2a7107a0fd4a7ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 756.25$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.25 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 654$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 40c | 163$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 39c | 156$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 39c | 108$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 60c | 95.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 85.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 39c | 82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 39c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 40c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 45.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.