Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ce55ca15dd18322213fe644c40e3f7c67ccc1bfff5d4d26b680be88a47f0d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Glory FCof Sydney FC, Perth Glory FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Perth Glory FC | 76c | 835.67$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sydney FC | 24c | 652.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Perth Glory FC | 78c | 134$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +103%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Perth Glory FC | 75c | 113$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Perth Glory FC | 75c | 108$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Sydney FC | 26c | 102.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526f…feb4backed Sydney FC | 32c | 92.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Perth Glory FC | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Perth Glory FC | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Perth Glory FC | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Perth Glory FC | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Perth Glory FC | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sydney FC | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Perth Glory FC | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Perth Glory FC | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Perth Glory FC | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Sydney FC | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Sydney FC | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Sydney FC | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Sydney FC | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Perth Glory FC | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Perth Glory FC | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Perth Glory FC | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.