Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc3eeb632365c38001a2e4f05f43f709b706470214b9451bbe651c313840042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 877.48$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.66 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 357.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 337.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 62c | 136$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 62c | 131$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 38c | 87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 61c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 61c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 38c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 36c | 42.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.