Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca0453fd1c5e420fb5ed08b6c3aa418ddb46bff867c75c8618dd6160a9baeea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 51c | 194$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 120.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 49c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Yes | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked No | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Yes | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked No | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked No | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Yes | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed No | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.