NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2755ffe60ef27a49814d1b1c516accd34e98ee25e751f6fc5edc29102523f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 61c | 3,696$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.73 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 39c | 3,289$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 1,466$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.86 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,418$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 1,366$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.52 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,119$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 40c | 188$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Over | 39c | 176.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 41c | 161$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 40c | 154$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 40c | 128$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Under | 53c | 119.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 110.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 60c | 101.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…bd01backed Over | 61c | 97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 40c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 40c | 74.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 40c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 60c | 63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 41c | 38.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. PanthersCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.