Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7684df102d36233e00930b5f9ed58c4f40b69961f27f3cf3976ccb03639cd326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof LIU Sharks, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 39c | 905.76$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed LIU Sharks | 56c | 446.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 46c | 240.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed LIU Sharks | 61c | 219.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LIU Sharks | 56c | 207.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked LIU Sharks | 41c | 193.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed LIU Sharks | 60c | 188.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 37c | 164.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LIU Sharks | 67c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed LIU Sharks | 62c | 118$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked LIU Sharks | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 44c | 66.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked LIU Sharks | 63c | 65.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed LIU Sharks | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked LIU Sharks | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 37c | 41.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 56c | 34.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed LIU Sharks | 59c | 34.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked LIU Sharks | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed LIU Sharks | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 41c | 28.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsthis page
- LIU Sharks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-2.5)LIU Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.