NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9e0c693864cd852aff2cd66b83273678ef2cc1bda10e4665b7508a08f4160f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof SKA St. Petersburg, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 196.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 179$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3faebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 122.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…5d38backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…96b1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…a849backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…259ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 42c | 71.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 42.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…ca32backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…56e8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.