NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74afd0b950ebf24b21b19a5b0c3b56f7c0a2fb25ae00870746ddea0ef72c252d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $691,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sharks | 42c | 156,874$65,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,414.59 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks | 42c | 70,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Capitals | 57c | 57,954$33,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,714.04 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Capitals | 59c | 50,381$29,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,797.84 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 59c | 49,972$29,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,488.34 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 42c | 21,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Sharks | 42c | 20,904$8,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,686.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 58c | 20,700$12,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,607.2 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 59c | 19,477$11,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,056.07 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Sharks | 44c | 16,420$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,190 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 58c | 16,104$9,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,730.5 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Capitals | 58c | 15,555$9,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.1 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Capitals | 58c | 15,550$9,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,531 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d2…a720backed Capitals | 27c | 14,200$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,366 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…5f89backed Sharks | 73c | 14,200$10,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sharks | 41c | 12,178$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sharks | 1c | 12,035$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 56c | 11,323$6,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Capitals | 58c | 10,961$6,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Capitals | 58c | 10,828$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Capitals | 58c | 10,655$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Sharks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 59c | 10,000$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sharks | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks | 41c | 9,756$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Capitals | 58c | 9,400$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947.98 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 2c | 9,052$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 58c | 9,012$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.04 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…3df2backed Capitals | 58c | 6,300$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 58c | 5,705$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.47 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sharks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Sharks | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sharks | 24c | 4,494$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.46 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Capitals | 59c | 3,966$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.06 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sharks | 42c | 3,618$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.72 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Sharks | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Capitals | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…5c34backed Capitals | 76c | 2,863$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Capitals | 58c | 2,854$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.63 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 41c | 2,812$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.04 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…7e56backed Capitals | 59c | 2,758$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Capitals | 59c | 2,700$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Capitals | 58c | 2,648$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Sharks | 41c | 2,570$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.88 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 41c | 2,201$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.39 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Capitals | 60c | 2,083$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.67 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…1ee2backed Sharks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Sharks | 42c | 2,000$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Sharks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 38c | 1,923$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.26 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sharks | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks | 9c | 1,893$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Capitals | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Capitals | 69c | 1,692$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.49 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…08b2backed Capitals | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f71…c41dbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…ac52backed Sharks | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…8dddbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…299bbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,483$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.86 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…9a08backed Capitals | 58c | 1,481$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ab…d95abacked Sharks | 42c | 1,481$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…319cbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,480$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…b28cbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,480$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…a521backed Capitals | 58c | 1,479$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…2da7backed Sharks | 42c | 1,479$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…c239backed Capitals | 58c | 1,478$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…bee2backed Sharks | 42c | 1,478$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…ea64backed Capitals | 58c | 1,476$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…86b6backed Sharks | 42c | 1,476$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…030dbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,476$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…a288backed Capitals | 58c | 1,476$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…4cabbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,457$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…164cbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,457$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…5afabacked Sharks | 42c | 1,420$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…cce2backed Capitals | 58c | 1,420$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…f32dbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…5db2backed Sharks | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…dbe1backed Sharks | 42c | 1,293$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…5f1cbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Sharks | 1c | 1,241$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Capitals | 59c | 1,211$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.14 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…673fbacked Sharks | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…ce0abacked Capitals | 58c | 1,191$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Capitals | 59c | 1,171$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 22c | 1,150$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee37…6269backed Sharks | 42c | 1,090$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…55debacked Capitals | 58c | 1,090$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…eae7backed Sharks | 42c | 1,084$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…09dfbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,084$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d1…d97cbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,084$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0876…e069backed Sharks | 42c | 1,084$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d3…623abacked Sharks | 42c | 1,083$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…c3d1backed Sharks | 42c | 1,083$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Sharksthis page
- Capitals vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.