NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db892568fe4b7746de9d6c5c6656e64b62eae4fab05adac1f7361fc1c7ecd31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,924$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.9 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 51c | 2,245$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.98 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,202$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 2,041$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 950.4$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.72 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 34c | 921.87$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.44 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 66c | 705.35$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.13 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Under | 69c | 570.52$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 443.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 425.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 44c | 394.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 57c | 350.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…4f5ebacked Over | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 51c | 178.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 120.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…e723backed Under | 46c | 56.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 54c | 55.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 44c | 51.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Over | 52c | 50.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 44.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 53c | 41.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 50c | 28.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 22.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…6db4backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. BluesBlues won
- Blackhawks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.