NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c76c4a7b6380249fc16e4fbdc23b3c0f9312b05494b545ee9a1f4af9840d89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blues, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blues | 33c | 6,651$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.46 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 67c | 6,407$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.33 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Blackhawks | 70c | 1,435$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.89 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 30c | 998.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Blues | 31c | 599.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues | 31c | 353.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 220.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Blues | 79c | 205$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Blackhawks | 53c | 193.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blues | 47c | 188.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Blues | 31c | 153.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Blackhawks | 71c | 123.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Blues | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Blues | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Blackhawks | 21c | 86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Blackhawks | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 28c | 69.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Blackhawks | 22c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Blues | 31c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Blackhawks | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Blackhawks | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Blues | 34c | 48.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Blackhawks | 71c | 42.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Blues | 31c | 35.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…8bedbacked Blackhawks | 72c | 33.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Blackhawks | 66c | 31.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blackhawks | 72c | 29.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Blackhawks | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks | 55c | 25.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Blackhawks | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Blackhawks | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…491cbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. BluesBlues won
- Blackhawks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.